- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Rangers starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Hyun Jin Ryu
- Watch the game on SNET
The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+100) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Rangers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 79-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-77 ATS.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +140 | O 8 +100 | -120 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -120 | +100 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 135 games (+19.14 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 135 games (+15.46 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 78 of their last 135 games (+12.91 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 135 games (+9.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+15.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 119 games (+12.99 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.09 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 53 games (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 75-68 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 3.57% ROI).
- 79-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -2.04% ROI
- 74-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 2.88% ROI
- 63-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.05 Units / -11.51% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 67-77 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -6.73% ROI).
- 80-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 61-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.75 Units / -14.46% ROI
- 77-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 5.98% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (128/382) against Max Scherzer this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (422/600) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 35% (53 SO in 150 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (73/239) against Max Scherzer in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to August 26th — Kenta Maeda has the longest active streak at 10.
Hyun Jin Ryu has walked 49 of 952 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Hyun Jin Ryu has an average fastball velocity of just 89.6 MPH since the 2021 season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (153/279) against Hyun Jin Ryu in two-strike counts since the 2021 season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 70-50 (.583) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rangers are just 2-133 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are 46-32 (.590) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Rangers are just 6-123 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 65-99 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Blue Jays are 31-48 (.392) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .492 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .788 (4,117 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Rangers hitters are slugging .455 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Rangers hitters are slugging .269 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 485 strikeouts in 2,529 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,276 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,529 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 240 of 2,718 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 52 of 501 batters (10%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 185 of 2,745 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (1286.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Whitley Merrifield (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee, D10
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