- The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 80-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-78 ATS.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -130 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+15.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 136 games (+20.14 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 136 games (+16.61 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 78 of their last 136 games (+11.91 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 136 games (+11.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 120 games (+13.99 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.19 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 54 games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 76-68 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 4.34% ROI).
- 80-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.55% ROI
- 75-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 3.48% ROI
- 63-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -12.15% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 67-78 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -7.56% ROI).
- 80-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -5.42% ROI
- 62-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.75 Units / -13.74% ROI
- 77-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 5.22% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (592/2,208) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
41% of Jordan Montgomery’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
65% of Jordan Montgomery’s called strikeouts are inside this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (61/167) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (125 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 33% (41 SO in 124 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last six games — Justin Steele has the longest active streak at 8.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of just .518 (124 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .706 — 95th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are 28-13 (.683) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 6-123 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rangers are 46-32 (.590) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Rangers are just 2-48 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 65-99 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Blue Jays are 72-17 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .794 (5,624 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rangers hitters have chased 28% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .268 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .425 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,283 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .753 (9,230 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 240 of 2,727 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 861 of 11,529 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, D10
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Maxwell Scherzer (Rangers): Triceps , Day-to-Day
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee, D10
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