- The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on SNET
The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Thursday, September 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Rangers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 81-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 67-79 ATS.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -110 | -155 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+14.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 76 of their last 137 games (+21.19 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 137 games (+17.61 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 79 of their last 137 games (+12.91 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 137 games (+12.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 121 games (+14.99 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 93 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.19 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 55 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 77-68 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 4.86% ROI).
- 81-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -1% ROI
- 76-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 4.08% ROI
- 63-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.3 Units / -12.76% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 67-79 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -8.08% ROI).
- 80-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 63-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.75 Units / -13.01% ROI
- 77-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 4.51% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (41/291) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .092 (7 GB hits out of 76 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (26/157) against Nathan Eovaldi on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (100/298) against Nathan Eovaldi when he’s behind in the count since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .176 (408 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (718/942) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (48-for-383) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .407 (103-for-253) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 6-123 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rangers are just 2-48 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are 28-13 (.683) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 2-133 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 150-36 (.806) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Blue Jays are 65-99 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .492 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,518 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rangers are batting .275 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .268 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .350 (1,311 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 240 of 2,736 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.91 (609.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 865 of 11,570 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, D10
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Maxwell Scherzer (Rangers): Triceps , D15
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
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