- The Rangers are -165 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi
- Watch the game on ARID
The Texas Rangers (-165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Rangers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 72-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-55 ATS.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -105 | -165 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -115 | U 9 -115 | +140 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 69.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 116 games (+24.73 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 68 of their last 116 games (+22.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 116 games (+18.22 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 65 of their last 116 games (+7.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+11.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.74 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.24 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.64 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-51 against the Run Line (+24.2 Units / 16.01% ROI).
- 72-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 4.03% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -2.21% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -6.63% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 68-55 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 3.79% ROI).
- 63-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 3.56% ROI
- 52-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.6 Units / -14.22% ROI
- 64-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 6.13% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
33 of Jordan Montgomery’s 128 strikeouts (26%) have come on changeups this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (57/159) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of 56% (14 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 73% (11/15) against Jordan Montgomery — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (13/28) of opposing batters over the last 30 days (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 1-125 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are 22-15 (.595) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Rangers are just 0-44 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 104-20 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 118-12 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Diamondbacks are 17-109 (.135) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,296 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .847 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .820 (1,296 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/10,569) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 713 strikeouts in 3,457 PA’s (21%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 224 of 2,542 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Diamondbacks): Back, D10
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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