- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 72-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 69-55 ATS.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rangers | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
Diamondbacks | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 away games (+15.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Christian Walker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nate Lowe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Zac Gallen | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Jon Gray | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 117 games (+23.53 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 68 of their last 117 games (+22.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 117 games (+16.92 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.84 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.14 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.64 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-52 against the Run Line (+23.2 Units / 15.24% ROI).
- 72-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -2.95% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -5.84% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 69-55 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 4.38% ROI).
- 64-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 4.47% ROI
- 52-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -14.87% ROI
- 65-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 6.82% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (61 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Jon Gray — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .433 (26-for-60) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (43-for-265) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 93rd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .187 (342 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 60% (460/770) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .269 (643 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .442 (34-for-77) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — fifth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rangers are just 1-125 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are 22-15 (.595) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Rangers are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Diamondbacks are just 104-20 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 118-12 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are 18-109 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,299 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .847 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,000 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/10,569) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 224 of 2,553 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers this season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.7
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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