Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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(AP Photo/Matt York)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rangers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 72-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 69-55 ATS.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -190O 8.5 -105+105
Diamondbacks -1.5 +155U 8.5 -115-125

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 away games (+15.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Nate Lowe 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +1150 0.5
Tommy Pham 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Nate Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -135 0.5 +100
Tommy Pham 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Diamondbacks vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Nate Lowe 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Corbin Carroll 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Tommy Pham 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Diamondbacks vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
Jon Gray 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 117 games (+23.53 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 68 of their last 117 games (+22.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 117 games (+16.92 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.84 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.14 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.64 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 39% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-52 against the Run Line (+23.2 Units / 15.24% ROI).

  • 72-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.08% ROI
  • 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -2.95% ROI
  • 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -5.84% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 69-55 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 4.38% ROI).

  • 64-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 4.47% ROI
  • 52-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -14.87% ROI
  • 65-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 6.82% ROI

Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (61 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Jon Gray — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .433 (26-for-60) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .162 (43-for-265) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 93rd Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .187 (342 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 60% (460/770) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .269 (643 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .442 (34-for-77) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — fifth Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers are just 1-125 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Rangers are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Rangers are 22-15 (.595) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

The Rangers are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are just 104-20 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Diamondbacks are just 118-12 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.

The Diamondbacks are just 29-14 (.674) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Diamondbacks are 18-109 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

Rangers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,299 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.

Rangers hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .847 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,000 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (184/10,569) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 224 of 2,553 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rangers have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers this season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.7

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
  • Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
  • Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Back, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.