Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2023, 11:38 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray, 0.00 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Thomas Henry, 12.46 ERA

The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rangers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Rangers are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 3-5 ATS.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -185O 10.5 -110+100
Diamondbacks -1.5 +150U 10.5 -110-120

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 12% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Beer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Jordan Luplow has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 away games (+8.68 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 22.27% ROI).

  • 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -3.24% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 29.05% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -38.07% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 3-5 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -30.19% ROI).

  • 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -35.88% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -4.49% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -2.3% ROI

Jon Gray had a strike rate of 70% (744/1,066) against right-handed batters last season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (28/110) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 28% (16/57) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Opponents batted just .168 (39-for-232) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 94th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tommy Henry has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to September 7th, 2022 — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.

Tommy Henry has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to September 7th, 2022 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.

Tommy Henry allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (38 Total Bases / 59 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .401 — third Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 17% (8/47) versus Tommy Henry over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are just 122-24 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 111-36 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Diamondbacks are just 33-184 (.152) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,250 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (9,712 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .295 (4,219 PA’s) against RHP last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Diamondbacks hitters chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Diamondbacks hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.