- The Rangers (25-28) are -105 favorites vs the Guardians (24-25)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (1-2), 4.82 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (2-3), 3.52 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on Monday, June 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 25-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 26-23 ATS.
Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -110 | -105 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -110 | -115 |
Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 away games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 42% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+17.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1H Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1H Total Over in 24 of their last 47 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1H Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 32-21 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 13.25% ROI).
- 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -9.17% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.63% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 26-23 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.36% ROI).
- 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.14% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.83% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -8.46% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (8/58) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .077 (2 Total Bases / 26 ABs) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .379 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/34) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (27/241) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has thrown his slider 44% of the time (163/368) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 43 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (33 SO in 110 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Rangers are just 20-5 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Rangers are just 18-111 (.140) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rangers are just 42-93 (.311) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Guardians are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Guardians are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Guardians are just 6-23 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 173 walks in 2,557 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,342 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,557 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (957 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 228 PA’s (10%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 338 strikeouts in 1,846 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
28% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 50 of 473 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Guardians pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .188 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
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