Rangers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 06, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • The Rangers (25-28) are -105 favorites vs the Guardians (24-25)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (1-2), 4.82 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (2-3), 3.52 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on Monday, June 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 25-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 26-23 ATS.

Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +150O 9 -110-105
Guardians +1.5 -185U 9 -110-115

Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 away games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+17.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+6.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1H Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+5.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1H Total Over in 24 of their last 47 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1H Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 32-21 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 13.25% ROI).

  • 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -9.17% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.63% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 26-23 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.36% ROI).

  • 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.14% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.83% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -8.46% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (8/58) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .077 (2 Total Bases / 26 ABs) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .379 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/34) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (27/241) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has thrown his slider 44% of the time (163/368) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 43 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (33 SO in 110 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Rangers are just 20-5 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Rangers are just 18-111 (.140) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Rangers are just 42-93 (.311) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Guardians are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Guardians are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Guardians are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Guardians are just 6-23 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

Rangers hitters have drawn 173 walks in 2,557 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,342 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,557 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (957 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Guardians hitters have just 22 strikeouts in 228 PA’s (10%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 338 strikeouts in 1,846 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

28% of Guardians hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 50 of 473 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Guardians pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .188 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.