- The Rangers (25-28) are +100 favorites vs the Guardians (24-25)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Taylor Hearn (3-4), 5.48 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-0), 2.64 ERA
- Game 2 of today’s doubleheader, watch the game on BSGL
The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022 for Game 2 of today’s doubleheader . First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 25-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 26-23 ATS.
Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 8 +100 | +100 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -120 | -120 |
Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+17.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 47 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 32-21 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 13.25% ROI).
- 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -9.17% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.63% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 26-23 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.36% ROI).
- 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.14% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.83% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -8.46% ROI
Taylor Hearn: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/34) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (176/885) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (9/63) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (63/404) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (27/241) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has struck out just 13% (16/126) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 20-5 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Rangers are just 42-93 (.311) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Rangers are just 103-145 (.415) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Guardians are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 11-8 (.579) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Guardians are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (957 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rangers hitters have drawn 173 walks in 2,557 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (6,804 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,557 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 242 strikeouts in 1,335 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 190 PA’s (10%) over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 50 of 473 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Guardians pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
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