Rangers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 07, 2022, 10:51 AM
  • The Rangers (25-28) are +100 favorites vs the Guardians (24-25)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Taylor Hearn (3-4), 5.48 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-0), 2.64 ERA
  • Game 2 of today’s doubleheader, watch the game on BSGL

The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022 for Game 2 of today’s doubleheader . First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 25-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 26-23 ATS.

Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +155O 8 +100+100
Guardians +1.5 -190U 8 -120-120

Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+17.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 47 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 32-21 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 13.25% ROI).

  • 25-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -9.17% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.63% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 26-23 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.36% ROI).

  • 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.14% ROI
  • 25-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.83% ROI
  • 23-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -8.46% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/34) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (7/32) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (176/885) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (9/63) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (63/404) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (27/241) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 13% (16/126) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rangers are just 20-5 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Rangers are just 42-93 (.311) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Rangers are just 103-145 (.415) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Guardians are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Guardians are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Guardians are 11-8 (.579) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Guardians are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (957 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rangers hitters have drawn 173 walks in 2,557 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (6,804 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,557 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Guardians hitters have just 242 strikeouts in 1,335 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters have just 18 strikeouts in 190 PA’s (10%) over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.

Rangers pitchers have walked 50 of 473 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Guardians pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.