- The Guardians are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Rangers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 82-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 76-72 ATS.
Rangers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Rangers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+13.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+10.45 Units / 100% ROI)
Guardians vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Guardians vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 78-69 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 4.79% ROI).
- 82-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 78-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 5.26% ROI
- 63-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.45 Units / -13.92% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 76-72 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.21% ROI).
- 70-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -9.68% ROI
- 60-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.05 Units / -20.23% ROI
- 84-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.4 Units / 11.31% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 11% (30/276) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .289 (322 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .262 (61-for-233) against Dane Dunning’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 10th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 38% (122 SO in 322 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed three-ball counts to 22% of batters they faced (124/564 PA’s) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 12% — second Percentile.
Tanner Bibee did not walk any of the 23 batters that he faced — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of just .268 (61 Total Bases / 228 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (215/466) when behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers are just 6-124 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Rangers are 23-19 (.548) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Rangers are 71-15 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Rangers are just 2-134 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
keys to the game – home
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .654 (3,295 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,716 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 242 of 2,753 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 6.38 (117.0 IP) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 119 double plays in 1,015 opportunities (12%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (3,763 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Guardians pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,535 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (407.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Guardians vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Kelly (Guardians): Back, D15
- Shane Bieber (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Maxwell Scherzer (Rangers): Triceps , D15
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Jose Adolis García (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
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