Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

Seattle Mariners' Julio Rodriguez reacts after the umpires confirmed a challenged call, ruling him out for fan interference on a foul ball during the eighth inning of the team's baseball game against the Oakland Athletics, Tuesday, May 23, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Caean Couto)
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  • The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | RASN | KING

The Texas Rangers (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Rangers are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 7-13 ATS.

Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 1-0, 2.88 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 1-2, 4.19 ERA

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -220O 6.5 -105+120
Mariners -1.5 +180U 6.5 -115-145

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
  • Danny Jansen has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+9.50 Units / 119% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 11-8 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.71% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -8.45% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 7-13 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -25.51% ROI).

  • 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -28.06% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -14.12% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 4.75% ROI

Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +350
Corey Seager +450
Jake Burger +450
Julio Rodriguez +475
Josh Naylor +525

Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Corey Seager 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Josh Naylor 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Wyatt Langford 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Danny Jansen 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Cole Young 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers were 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Rangers were just 7-18 (.280) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 7-68 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Rangers were just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Mariners were 70-3 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Mariners are 41-31 (.569) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Rangers (fourth in runs allowed).

The Mariners were 12-55 (.179) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Rangers hitters have struck out in 31% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .387 (109 PA’s) against LHP this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .263 (198 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,865 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters slugged .712 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .489 (193 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .177 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (1443.0 IP) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Rangers allowed 3.09 runs per game (250/81) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 70% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 22 double plays in 116 opportunities (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.