- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RASN | RTNW
The Texas Rangers (+155) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-190) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 57-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 46-62 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 7-6, 4.11 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-4, 3.38 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -140 | O 7.5 -115 | +155 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +115 | U 7.5 -105 | -190 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+15.20 Units / 190% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cole Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.95 Units / 86% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 110 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 98 games (+8.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games at home (+3.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 58-51 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 0.55% ROI).
- 57-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.64% ROI
- 45-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -19.07% ROI
- 63-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.95 Units / 10.53% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 46-62 against the Run Line (-16.05 Units / -12.15% ROI).
- 58-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -3.91% ROI
- 57-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 3.39% ROI
- 48-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.77 Units / -12.18% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -295 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Naylor (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Naylor (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Leiter has walked 12% of right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Jack Leiter has allowed a slugging percentage of just .248 (35 Total Bases / 141 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Jack Leiter’s changeup (84/226) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (77/267) against Jack Leiter with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .175 (423 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .432 (423 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .149 (61-for-409) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed an OPS of just .412 (297 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 3-30 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Rangers are just 13-89 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Rangers are just 5-22 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Rangers are 65-14 (.823) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 22-14 (.611) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rangers (Ranks first runs allowed) today.
The Mariners are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mariners are 119-3 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .165 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Rangers hitters have struck out in 31% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .355 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .157 with runners on base over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Mariners hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 16% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .267 (2,436 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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