- The Mariners (51-45) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (43-51)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-6), 5.40 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (6-8), 3.79 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 43-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 49-47 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -115 | +130 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -155 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 away games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 away games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 41 away games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 36 games at home (+22.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Glenn Otto | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+18.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 74 games (+0.03 Units / 0% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+16.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 54-40 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 8.55% ROI).
- 43-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -6.84% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.69% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -5.98% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 49-47 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.88% ROI).
- 51-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 5.34% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -7.77% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.7% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (10/16) against Glenn Otto — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (22/68) against Glenn Otto on breaking pitches this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .350 (21-for-60) against Glenn Otto with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Glenn Otto has located his fastball up for a strike just 46% (111/240) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 60% (518/857) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 40% of the time (391/979) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (109/323) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (156/288) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 40-45 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Rangers are just 31-5 (.861) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rangers are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 36-7 (.837) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Mariners are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 20-6 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,580 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have pulled 52% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Mariners hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 76 of 841 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Jesse Winker (Mariners): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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