Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 25

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 25, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (51-45) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (43-51)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-6), 5.40 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (6-8), 3.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Monday, July 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 43-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 49-47 ATS.

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -155O 8.5 -115+130
Mariners -1.5 +125U 8.5 -105-155

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 away games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 away games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 41 away games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 36 games at home (+22.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+8.55 Units / 13% ROI)

Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Carlos Santana 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Dylan Moore 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Carlos Santana 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Dylan Moore 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Carlos Santana 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Dylan Moore 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Glenn Otto 4.5 +105 4.5 -145
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+18.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 74 games (+0.03 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+16.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 54-40 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 8.55% ROI).

  • 43-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -6.84% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.69% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -5.98% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 49-47 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -3.88% ROI).

  • 51-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 5.34% ROI
  • 45-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -7.77% ROI
  • 49-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.7% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (10/16) against Glenn Otto — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (22/68) against Glenn Otto on breaking pitches this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .350 (21-for-60) against Glenn Otto with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.

Glenn Otto has located his fastball up for a strike just 46% (111/240) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 60% (518/857) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 40% of the time (391/979) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (109/323) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (156/288) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 40-45 (.471) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rangers are just 31-5 (.861) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Rangers are 6-39 (.133) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 36-7 (.837) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Mariners are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 20-6 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,580 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have pulled 52% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Mariners hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 76 of 841 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.