- The Rangers (43-53) are -125 favorites vs the Mariners (53-45)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (7-4), 3.48 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (5-10), 3.73 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (-125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 43-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 49-49 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -125 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -110 | +105 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 away games (+16.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 away games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 43 away games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+13.40 Units / 64% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 38 games at home (+19.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 47 of his last 65 games (+18.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
| Jon Gray | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 85 games (+20.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+12.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 49 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+18.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 56-40 against the Run Line (+12.45 Units / 9.96% ROI).
- 43-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -8.54% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -1.7% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -5.86% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 49-49 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -5.35% ROI).
- 53-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 6.88% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -7.66% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.69% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.0 innings pitched — Triston McKenzie has the longest active streak at 27.0.
Division opponents batted just .045 against Jon Gray (1-for-22) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (22/87) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed an OBP of just .107 (28 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 26% (55 SO in 208 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (44/307) against Marco Gonzales this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 12% (55 SO in 458 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has struck out just 12% (43/366) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 12-43 (.218) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Rangers are just 21-26 (.447) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 39-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 29-5 (.853) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Mariners are 6-41 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Mariners are 37-7 (.841) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (6,648 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Rangers are batting .375 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,877 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,546 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 110 walks in 994 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 77 of 858 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 336 of 3,657 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 56 of 872 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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