- The Mariners are -180 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: RASN | RTNW
The Texas Rangers (+145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-180) on Thursday, July 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Rangers are 57-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 45-62 ATS.
Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 4-4, 5.77 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-5, 4.50 ERA
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -102 | +145 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -118 | -180 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+14.80 Units / 211% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+11.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 97 games (+9.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 58-50 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.58% ROI).
- 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 45-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.6 Units / -18.31% ROI
- 62-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.95 Units / 9.8% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 45-62 against the Run Line (-17.25 Units / -13.15% ROI).
- 57-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 57-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 4.34% ROI
- 47-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.77 Units / -13.13% ROI
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Eugenio Suarez (Sea) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Eugenio Suarez (Sea) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kumar Rocker (TEX) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 79% (22/28) against Kumar Rocker’s away fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 0 Percentile.
Kumar Rocker has an ERA of 7.66 (22.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — seventh Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .325 (41-for-126) against Kumar Rocker this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (19/57) against Kumar Rocker with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby walked 3% of batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2% of right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .067 (3-for-45) against George Kirby with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .157 — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 3-29 (.094) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Rangers are just 15-64 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Rangers are just 5-22 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 21-14 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rangers (Ranks first runs allowed) today.
The Mariners are 97-14 (.874) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Mariners are 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mariners are 16-98 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .219 (2,114 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .635 (1,095 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Rangers hitters have struck out in 32% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rangers are batting just .222 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters are slugging .689 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .224 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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