- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney, 3.85 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo, 4.15 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Texas Rangers (+110) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Sunday, March 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Peoria.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rangers are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 5-6 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | O 10.5 +100 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 10.5 -120 | -130 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+2.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 123 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 away games (+8.68 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+18.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 99 games (+14.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -9.47% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -12.31% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 29.1% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -37.45% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -14.94% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -16.37% ROI
- 2-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -67.17% ROI
- 10-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 59.85% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney had a strikeout rate of 35% (110/310) last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 37% (236/639) against Andrew Heaney last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (24-for-63) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 36% (185/517) against Andrew Heaney last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo had a strikeout rate of 48% (62/130) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (281/474) against Luis Castillo since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (210/362) against Luis Castillo in two-strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (19 Total Bases / 114 ABs) on elevated fastballs last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .374 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 34-47 (.420) at home last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 41-11 (.788) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mariners are 9-59 (.132) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Mariners are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 62-10 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,250 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (9,712 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters had an OBP of just .295 (4,219 PA’s) against RHP last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Mariners are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
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