- The Mariners are -165 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Texas Rangers (+140) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-165) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 20-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 17-17 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -105 | +140 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -115 | -165 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.85 Units / 73% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Jon Gray | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 25 games (+18.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.75 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 20-13 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 14.73% ROI).
- 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 10.57% ROI
- 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 24.21% ROI
- 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -33.52% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 17-17 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.47% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -2.73% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -6.57% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of just 28% (19 SO in 69 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 13% (4/31) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (11/83) against Jon Gray this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of just 14% (19 SO in 131 PAs) this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .115 (78 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .068 (5-for-73) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — 97th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .225 (78 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .507 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 37-34 (.521) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Rangers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
The Rangers are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Rangers are 20-13 (.606) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mariners are 8-78 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Mariners are 80-3 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .308 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rangers are batting .338 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .920 (619 PA’s) with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 99 double plays in 1,330 opportunities (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have pulled 54% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .271 (292 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .625 (292 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .221 (149 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 679 of 7,379 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 425 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Kolten Wong (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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