- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 20-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 17-17 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -115 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -105 | -160 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 83% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.85 Units / 73% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Andrew Heaney | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 20-13 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 14.73% ROI).
- 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 10.57% ROI
- 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 24.21% ROI
- 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -33.52% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 17-17 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.47% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -2.73% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -6.57% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has walked 7 of 35 batters (20%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (31/104 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has walked 7 of 30 batters (23%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (59/162) against Andrew Heaney on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 14.0 (14/1) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.6 — 95th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 3 of 148 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 72% (194/271) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 71% (384/543) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are 6-2 (.750) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Rangers are just 37-34 (.521) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Rangers are just 74-14 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Rangers are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Mariners are 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Mariners are 80-3 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .296 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Rangers are batting .338 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Rangers are batting .266 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Rangers hitters are slugging .544 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .212 (156 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Mariners are batting just .180 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 166 of 1,744 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 24 of 457 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- John Crawford (Mariners): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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