• The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
• Rangers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Rangers / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | RASN

The Texas Rangers (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on September 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Rangers are 72-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 55-90 ATS.

Rangers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 10-9, 3.98 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 11-9, 3.72 ERA

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Wyatt Langford has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Lazaro Montes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Dominic Canzone has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 65-77 against the Run Line (-20.3 Units / -10.72% ROI).

• 72-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -6.25% ROI
• 74-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 2.51% ROI
• 64-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.6 Units / -10.37% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 55-90 against the Run Line (-33 Units / -19.38% ROI).

• 68-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.5 Units / -15.66% ROI
• 76-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 4.28% ROI
• 63-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.15 Units / -12.58% ROI

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 2-67 (.029) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 13-38 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 32-37 (.464) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mariners (17th fewest runs allowed).

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are just 20-24 (.455) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 23-35 (.397) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Rangers (26th in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 2-67 (.029) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 7-62 (.101) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rangers are batting .260 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,597 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (687 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mariners are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 335 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 4.90 (628.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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