Rangers vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The (96-43) are favorites vs the (96-43)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (7-6), 3.83 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (2-6), 3.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Texas Rangers () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Rangers vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 57-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 64-73 ATS.

Rangers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers O
Marlins U

Rangers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 62 of his last 100 games (+23.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+22.95 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)

Marlins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
JJ Bleday 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jerar Encarnacion 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500

Marlins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
JJ Bleday 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Jacob Stallings 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jerar Encarnacion 0.5 -120 0.5 -115

Marlins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
JJ Bleday 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Jacob Stallings 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Jerar Encarnacion 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Marlins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trevor Rogers 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
Glenn Otto 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 100 games (+12.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+1.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 75-61 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 4.34% ROI).

  • 57-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.2 Units / -13.02% ROI
  • 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.3% ROI
  • 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -8.03% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 64-73 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -11.34% ROI).

  • 57-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.2 Units / -16.22% ROI
  • 61-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -10.33% ROI
  • 70-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 2.05% ROI

Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 113 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 27 of 180 batters (15%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 56 of 476 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .239 (11-for-46) against Glenn Otto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 97th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (13 Total Bases / 15 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .404 — sixth Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (133/446) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .438 (73 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .318 — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of .772 (132 Total Bases / 171 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .545 — first Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rangers are just 31-88 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Rangers are just 137-191 (.418) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Rangers are just 109-20 (.845) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Rangers are just 43-183 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Marlins are just 21-26 (.447) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 63-185 (.254) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Marlins are just 148-171 (.464) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Marlins are just 19-28 (.404) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (9,269 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (3,713 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .921 (330 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,807 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Marlins hitters have 796 strikeouts in 2,866 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .626 (2,866 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,170 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .318 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Rangers pitchers have walked 15 of 87 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 63 of 480 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 17 of 105 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 124 of 1,238 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Marlins have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.