- The – (96-43) are favorites vs the – (96-43)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (7-6), 3.83 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett (2-6), 3.67 ERA
- Watch the game on BSFL
The Texas Rangers () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rangers vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 57-79 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 64-73 ATS.
Rangers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Rangers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 62 of his last 100 games (+23.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+22.95 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Marlins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Marlins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Marlins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| JJ Bleday | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jacob Stallings | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Marlins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
| Glenn Otto | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 100 games (+12.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+1.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 75-61 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 4.34% ROI).
- 57-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.2 Units / -13.02% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -8.03% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 64-73 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 57-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.2 Units / -16.22% ROI
- 61-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -10.33% ROI
- 70-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 2.05% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 113 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 27 of 180 batters (15%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 56 of 476 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .239 (11-for-46) against Glenn Otto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 97th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (13 Total Bases / 15 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .404 — sixth Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 30% of the time (133/446) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .438 (73 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .318 — first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of .772 (132 Total Bases / 171 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .545 — first Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rangers are just 31-88 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Rangers are just 137-191 (.418) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rangers are just 109-20 (.845) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Rangers are just 43-183 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Marlins are just 21-26 (.447) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Marlins are just 63-185 (.254) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Marlins are just 148-171 (.464) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Marlins are just 19-28 (.404) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (9,269 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (3,713 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .921 (330 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,807 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 796 strikeouts in 2,866 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .626 (2,866 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,170 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .318 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 15 of 87 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 63 of 480 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 17 of 105 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 124 of 1,238 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Marlins have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
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