- The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Mets
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Mets starting pitcher: José Quintana
- Watch the game on SNY
The Texas Rangers (-140) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Mets Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 74-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 52-79 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -140 |
| Mets | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -110 | +115 |
Rangers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+15.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 77% ROI)
Mets vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mets vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mets vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Danny Mendick | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
| Andrew Heaney | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 123 games (+20.98 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 70 of their last 123 games (+20.84 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 72 of their last 123 games (+13.66 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games at home (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.82 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.64 Units / 44% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 73-57 against the Run Line (+16.9 Units / 10.5% ROI).
- 74-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 65-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
- 59-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -8.62% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 52-79 against the Run Line (-37.4 Units / -22.58% ROI).
- 59-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.9 Units / -18.2% ROI
- 53-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.8 Units / -19.39% ROI
- 73-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.6 Units / 10.23% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 53% (238/446) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (104 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents are hitting .466 (27-for-58) against Andrew Heaney on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .351 — second Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 56% (395/708) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.7 MPH against his fastballs since last season (320 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 90.6
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (369/622) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 54% (661/1,219) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has walked 7 of 44 right-handed batters (16%) — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rangers are just 2-128 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are 22-16 (.579) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rangers are just 67-47 (.588) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Rangers are just 120-20 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mets are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Mets are 141-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets are 77-18 (.811) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mets are just 30-41 (.423) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .278 at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,790 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,333 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .226 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (7,779 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Games involving the Mets went UNDER in 73% of their games (41.9% ROI) after a home win this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets have been successful on 71% of their hit & run attempts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 227 of 2,608 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 491 of 4,998 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Mets vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
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