Rangers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mets (47-29) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (36-38)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-3), 5.31 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (6-5), 4.01 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Rangers vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 42-34 ATS.

Rangers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -135O 9 -105+145
Mets -1.5 +110U 9 -115-175

Rangers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 away games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 14 games at home (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)

Mets vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
James McCann 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500

Mets vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
James McCann 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Jeff McNeil 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Mets vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
James McCann 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Mets vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Glenn Otto 3.5 +125 3.5 -175
David Peterson 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 61 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+16.67 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 76 games (+12.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 43-31 against the Run Line (+8.9 Units / 9.32% ROI).

  • 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.3% ROI
  • 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -8.99% ROI
  • 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.17% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 8.45% ROI).

  • 47-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 40-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 5% ROI
  • 32-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -13.7% ROI

Glenn Otto has walked 26 of 187 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Glenn Otto has a strike rate of just 59% (459/771) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 15 of 94 left-handed batters (16%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (16/43) against Glenn Otto on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/136) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (37/243) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (29/194) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has a strikeout rate of 33% (23 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 85th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rangers are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Rangers are 20-3 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Rangers are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 6-28 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mets are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Mets are 35-4 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Mets are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Mets are 39-9 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,843 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,058 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,696 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have drawn 184 walks in 2,687 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .281 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Mets hitters have 178 extra-base hits out of 579 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Mets have scored first in 78% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Bassitt (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.