- The Mets (47-29) are -175 favorites vs the Rangers (36-38)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-3), 5.31 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (6-5), 4.01 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rangers vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 42-34 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -105 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +110 | U 9 -115 | -175 |
Rangers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 away games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 14 games at home (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Mets vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Mets vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Mets vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Glenn Otto | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -175 |
| David Peterson | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 61 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+4.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+16.67 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 76 games (+12.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+11.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 43-31 against the Run Line (+8.9 Units / 9.32% ROI).
- 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -8.99% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.17% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 8.45% ROI).
- 47-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 11.91% ROI
- 40-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 5% ROI
- 32-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -13.7% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has walked 26 of 187 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has a strike rate of just 59% (459/771) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 15 of 94 left-handed batters (16%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (16/43) against Glenn Otto on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/136) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (37/243) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (29/194) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has a strikeout rate of 33% (23 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 85th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rangers are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Rangers are 20-3 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Rangers are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 6-28 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mets are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Mets are 35-4 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Mets are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Mets are 39-9 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,843 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,058 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,696 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have drawn 184 walks in 2,687 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .281 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Mets hitters have 178 extra-base hits out of 579 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Mets have scored first in 78% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Rangers pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Bassitt (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15
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