- The Rangers are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Texas Rangers (-185) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+150) on Friday, July 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Rangers vs Nationals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 51-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-39 ATS.
Rangers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 -115 | O 10 -105 | -185 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | U 10 -115 | +150 |
Rangers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 73.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+19.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+22.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+20.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Nationals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Nationals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
| Trevor Williams | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 80 games (+28.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 80 games (+28.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 80 games (+25.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+21.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 81 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 69 games (+6.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 76 games (+2.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 52-36 against the Run Line (+17.65 Units / 16.26% ROI).
- 51-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 4.42% ROI
- 46-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 6.98% ROI
- 36-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -15.15% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 48-39 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 3.31% ROI).
- 34-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 40-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 42-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.11% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (5/25) against Cody Bradford over the last 30 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Cody Bradford over the last 30 days (4 games) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Irvin located 57% of his pitches away (275/484) when ahead in the count in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% (279/1,357) against Cole Irvin in 2022 — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (633/1,220) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .481 (76 Total Bases / 158 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has struck out just 10% (36/345) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has a strikeout rate of just 12% (16 SO in 128 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Rangers are just 102-17 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 4-100 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 26-57 (.313) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Nationals are just 39-86 (.312) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 13-27 (.325) after a home win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Nationals are just 31-58 (.348) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .366 (910 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters are slugging .323 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .856 (1,751 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rangers hitters are slugging .481 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,234 strikeouts in 6,242 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 136 walks in 2,191 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 204 of 2,224 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.66 (371.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Rangers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
