- The Rangers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Texas Rangers (-200) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+165) on Saturday, July 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Rangers vs Nationals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 52-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-40 ATS.
Rangers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 -125 | O 10 -115 | -200 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +105 | U 10 -105 | +165 |
Rangers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 80.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+20.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+21.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+17.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Nationals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Nationals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Nationals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Andrew Heaney | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 81 games (+29.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 81 games (+29.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 81 games (+26.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 81 games (+22.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 77 games (+3.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 53-36 against the Run Line (+18.65 Units / 17% ROI).
- 52-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 5.15% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 5.72% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -13.97% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 48-40 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 2.31% ROI).
- 34-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.34% ROI
- 40-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -7.71% ROI
- 43-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .219 (32-for-146) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 53% (167/314) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .222 (18-for-81) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (14-for-97) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (57/395) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (228/662) against Jake Irvin in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (20/111) against Jake Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (13/92) against Jake Irvin this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 103-17 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are 22-8 (.733) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 39-87 (.310) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 13-32 (.289) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 12-27 (.308) after a home win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Nationals are just 30-58 (.341) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .856 (1,751 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Rangers hitters are slugging .500 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rangers hitters are slugging .322 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .366 (910 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have drawn 137 walks in 2,199 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 31% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 36% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 204 of 2,233 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (380.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
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