- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Texas Rangers () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rangers vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 52-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 49-40 ATS.
Rangers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Rangers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 84.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rangers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jon Gray has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Victor Robles has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Victor Robles has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
Nationals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Nationals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 82 games (+20.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 83 games (+8.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 82 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+7.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 games (+6.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 78 games (+2.15 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 53-37 against the Run Line (+17.3 Units / 15.58% ROI).
- 52-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 3.44% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 6.67% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -15.01% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 49-40 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 3.34% ROI).
- 35-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 2.27% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -1.29% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has allowed a just .254 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 89th Percentile and .523 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 55% (573/1,041) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Dane Dunning has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of just .423 (60 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .744 — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .365 (386 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .308 (130-for-422) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .357 (130-for-364) against Patrick Corbin since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .323 (115-for-356) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 4-100 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Rangers are just 103-17 (.858) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are 45-9 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 13-32 (.289) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 39-87 (.310) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 27-58 (.318) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .320 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .595 (1,855 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .856 (1,751 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rangers hitters are slugging .455 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 36% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 137 walks in 2,213 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 205 of 2,241 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Nationals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Rangers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
