Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 05, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rangers (37-41) are -105 favorites vs the Orioles (37-44)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (0-1), 12.15 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (0-1), 7.33 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 37-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 51-30 ATS.

Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +145O 9.5 -120-105
Orioles +1.5 -175U 9.5 +100-115

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 70.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 away games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.70 Units / 57% ROI)

Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Austin Hays 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Anthony Santander 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Austin Hays 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Cedric Mullins 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Austin Hays 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Voth 2.5 -135 2.5 -105
Spencer Howard 2.5 -200 2.5 +140
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 67 games (+18.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+12.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 65 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 58 games (+6.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 away games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 61 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 61 games (+12.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 46-32 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 9.86% ROI).

  • 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -1.95% ROI
  • 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -8.65% ROI
  • 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.93% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 51-30 against the Run Line (+14.65 Units / 14.2% ROI).

  • 37-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 10.22% ROI
  • 35-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -12.51% ROI
  • 43-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 5.02% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .316 (25-for-79) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .155 — 0 Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .407 (24-for-59) against Austin Voth this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .220 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .235 (50-for-213) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .155 — first Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OBP of .512 (43 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 0 Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rangers are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.

The Rangers are 21-3 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Rangers are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Rangers are just 12-35 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 18-27 (.400) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Orioles are just 21-72 (.226) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

The Orioles are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,730 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,730 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (3,415 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,673 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Orioles have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Orioles are batting just .215 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Orioles hitters have drawn 220 walks in 2,998 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 63 of 695 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Austin Hays (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.