- The Rangers (37-42) are -110 favorites vs the Orioles (38-44)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-4), 5.63 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (1-1), 4.61 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Texas Rangers (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 37-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 51-31 ATS.
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -110 | -110 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 -110 | -110 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 away games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 37 away games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 away games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+14.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games at home (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.25 Units / 68% ROI)
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hays | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spenser Watkins | 2.5 -190 | 2.5 +130 |
| Glenn Otto | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 68 games (+19.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games (+5.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 42 away games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 62 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 62 games (+13.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 47-32 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 10.61% ROI).
- 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -3.16% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -7.38% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.23% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 51-31 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 13.1% ROI).
- 38-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 11.27% ROI
- 36-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -11.22% ROI
- 43-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 3.87% ROI
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Glenn Otto has a strike rate of just 59% (491/837) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 29 of 205 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Glenn Otto has walked 17 of 104 left-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .370 (17-for-46) against Glenn Otto with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spenser Watkins has allowed a slugging percentage of .943 (33 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .580 — fourth Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 13% (23 SO in 182 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (4/19) against Spenser Watkins against right-handed batters — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (77/316) against Spenser Watkins this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.
The Rangers are just 35-36 (.493) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Rangers are 21-4 (.840) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Rangers are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .080.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,743 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,074 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (6,151 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,719 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 235 strikeouts in 937 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .302 (9,068 PA’s) since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 65 of 705 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 5 of 107 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.19 (1065.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Austin Hays (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15
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