Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rangers (37-42) are -110 favorites vs the Orioles (38-44)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-4), 5.63 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (1-1), 4.61 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Texas Rangers (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 37-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 51-31 ATS.

Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +145O 9.5 -110-110
Orioles +1.5 -175U 9.5 -110-110

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 away games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 37 away games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 away games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games at home (+14.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games at home (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.25 Units / 68% ROI)

Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Anthony Santander 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Austin Hays 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Anthony Santander 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Austin Hays 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Ramon Urias 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Austin Hays 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spenser Watkins 2.5 -190 2.5 +130
Glenn Otto 3.5 -120 3.5 -115
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 68 games (+19.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games (+5.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 42 away games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 62 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 62 games (+13.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 47-32 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 10.61% ROI).

  • 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -3.16% ROI
  • 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -7.38% ROI
  • 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.23% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 51-31 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 13.1% ROI).

  • 38-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 11.27% ROI
  • 36-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -11.22% ROI
  • 43-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 3.87% ROI

Glenn Otto has a strike rate of just 59% (491/837) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 29 of 205 batters (14%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Glenn Otto has walked 17 of 104 left-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .370 (17-for-46) against Glenn Otto with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spenser Watkins has allowed a slugging percentage of .943 (33 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .580 — fourth Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 13% (23 SO in 182 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (4/19) against Spenser Watkins against right-handed batters — tied for 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (77/316) against Spenser Watkins this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rangers are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.

The Rangers are just 35-36 (.493) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Rangers are 21-4 (.840) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Rangers are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .080.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,743 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,074 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (6,151 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,719 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Orioles hitters have 235 strikeouts in 937 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .302 (9,068 PA’s) since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 65 of 705 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 5 of 107 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.19 (1065.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Austin Hays (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.