- The Rangers are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 32-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-18 ATS.
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+20.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+19.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+17.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+14.05 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Andrew Heaney | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 42 games (+22.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 games (+22.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 42 games (+21.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 42 games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 38 games (+15.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 51 games (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 32-18 against the Run Line (+12.6 Units / 19.53% ROI).
- 32-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.4 Units / 16.89% ROI
- 30-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 16.55% ROI
- 19-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -25.63% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 33-18 against the Run Line (+14.05 Units / 21.97% ROI).
- 33-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.3 Units / 21.2% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 7.69% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -15.13% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of 54% (162 SO in 302 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (18/30) against Andrew Heaney — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (327/1,010) against Andrew Heaney since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has pitched 10.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Michael Wacha has the longest active streak at 15.2.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .583 (35 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .351 (34-for-97) against Dean Kremer this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (21/67) against Dean Kremer in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strike rate of just 54% (171/319) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rangers are 8-3 (.727) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Rangers are 32-18 (.640) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 84-16 (.840) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Orioles are 13-4 (.765) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Orioles are 25-4 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Orioles are 57-38 (.600) after a loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .337 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Rangers have scored 6.44 runs per game (322/50) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
The Rangers are batting .198 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .276 (1,042 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 62% at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Orioles are 132-80 (.620) against the run line (14.1% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 177 of 1,887 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .129 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Orioles have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 55% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Ezequiel Duran (Rangers): Oblique, D10
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