Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 28, 2023, 3:34 PM
  • The Orioles are + favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+) on Sunday, May 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).

The Rangers vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 33-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-19 ATS.

Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+ +O ++
Orioles + +U ++

Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 70.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rangers vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+20.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+19.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+18.05 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.10 Units / 58% ROI)

Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Austin Hays 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -155 0.5 +120

Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Austin Hays 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Marcus Semien 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bradford 4.5 -105 4.5 -125
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 43 games (+23.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 43 games (+22.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 43 games (+21.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 43 games (+17.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 33-18 against the Run Line (+13.6 Units / 20.45% ROI).

  • 33-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.4 Units / 17.99% ROI
  • 30-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 14.16% ROI
  • 20-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -23.38% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 33-19 against the Run Line (+13.05 Units / 20.09% ROI).

  • 33-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 19.26% ROI
  • 27-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 5.52% ROI
  • 22-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -13.12% ROI

Cody Bradford has limited playing time.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (7/36) against Kyle Bradish — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to April 25th — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 7.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (6/25) against Kyle Bradish — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .679 (19 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .399 — seventh Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rangers are 8-3 (.727) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Rangers are just 43-35 (.551) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Rangers are 5-2 (.714) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Orioles are 10-12 (.455) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Orioles are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Orioles are 32-15 (.681) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Orioles are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Rangers hitters are slugging .302 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 45 times (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Rangers have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rangers are batting .336 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.

The Orioles are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,095 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Orioles have scored 203 runs in close and late situations since last season — most in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .484 (4,286 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Rangers pitchers have walked 177 of 1,896 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Orioles have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 127 of 1,909 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
  • Ezequiel Duran (Rangers): Oblique, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.