- The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Texas Rangers (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Pirates Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 29-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 24-22 ATS.
Rangers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -110 | -135 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | U 9 -110 | +110 |
Rangers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+18.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Pirates vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Pirates vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Pirates vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Pirates vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
| Luis Ortiz | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 38 games (+22.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 games (+20.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 38 games (+19.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+16.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 63% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 30-16 against the Run Line (+12.55 Units / 21.02% ROI).
- 29-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 15.52% ROI
- 28-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 18.21% ROI
- 17-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -27.1% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 24-22 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -2.71% ROI).
- 24-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 9.82% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -6% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -1.19% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 33% (23 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of just .491 (144 PA’s) this season — 7th best among in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (11/80) against Dane Dunning this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 16% (25/153) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has limited playing time.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Rangers are just 81-16 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Rangers are just 1-93 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Rangers are just 42-35 (.545) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Pirates are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Pirates are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Pirates are just 45-58 (.437) at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Pirates are just 29-105 (.216) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .311 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Rangers are batting .339 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Rangers have scored 130 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 107 double plays in 1,423 opportunities (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Pirates are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Pirates are batting just .149 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 175 of 1,852 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.08 (207.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
Pirates pitchers have walked 744 of 7,963 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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