- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Texas Rangers () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rangers vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 30-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 25-23 ATS.
Rangers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Rangers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+18.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+17.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+15.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+13.45 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+8.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 61% ROI)
Pirates vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Pirates vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Pirates vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Johan Oviedo | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+20.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 40 games (+19.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 40 games (+19.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games (+16.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 31-17 against the Run Line (+12.6 Units / 20.42% ROI).
- 30-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 14.39% ROI
- 29-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 17.3% ROI
- 18-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -26.3% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 25-23 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.99% ROI).
- 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 9.73% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -1.52% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 47% of the time (159/337) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 78 of Martin Perez’s 158 off-speed pitches out of the zone (49%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .303 (61-for-201) against Martin Perez this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — fourth Percentile.
50% of Martin Perez’s strikeouts are looking this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a strike rate of 68% when ahead in the count (seventh highest)– 92nd Percentile and 58% when behind in the count this season (second lowest among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has a strike rate of just 58% (119/205) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (48/83) against Johan Oviedo this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 92nd Percentile.
7 of Johan Oviedo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 7th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 91st Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Rangers are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rangers are 13-3 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .609.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Pirates are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Pirates are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
The Pirates are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Pirates are just 19-44 (.302) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .370 (521 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Rangers hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 109 double plays in 1,435 opportunities (8%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Rangers have scored 132 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
The Pirates are batting just .223 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .366 against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Pirates are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 176 of 1,869 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 748 of 8,034 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 2.58 (97.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.08 (207.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Pirates vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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