- The Rangers are -105 favorites vs the Rays
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 40-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 38-28 ATS.
Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+22.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 94% ROI)
Rays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Rays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 54 games (+27.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 54 games (+25.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 54 games (+20.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+20.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 66 games (+22.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 66 games (+22.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+17.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 40-22 against the Run Line (+17.45 Units / 22.01% ROI).
- 40-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.5 Units / 17.35% ROI
- 35-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 26-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.7 Units / -18.53% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 38-28 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 17.3% ROI).
- 47-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.6 Units / 21.36% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 8.33% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -17.78% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (33/229) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .480 (148 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .713 — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .253 (304 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 94th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .211 (147 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (29/88) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 15% (4/26) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 33% (48 SO in 145 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 40% (16 SO in 40 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers were just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers were just 65-82 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rangers were just 29-30 (.492) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Rangers were just 4-75 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays were 36-10 (.783) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays were 54-8 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays were 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rays were just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 56 times (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Rangers are batting .312 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Rangers are batting .334 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have a winning percentage of 83% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .545 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rays hitters are slugging .595 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .898 (466 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 169 of 2,253 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 184 of 1,992 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 77% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 123 of 2,029 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Illness, D15
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
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