- The Rays are -200 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Texas Rangers (+165) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-200) on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rangers vs Rays Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 41-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 38-29 ATS.
Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -120 | O 10 -210 | +165 |
| Rays | -1.5 +100 | U 10 +170 | -200 |
Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+22.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+17.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+15.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+12.75 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 86% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 94% ROI)
Rays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Rays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Rays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Rays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Shane McClanahan | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -125 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 55 games (+28.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 55 games (+26.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 55 games (+21.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 55 games (+21.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 67 games (+21.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 67 games (+20.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 36 games at home (+18.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 41-22 against the Run Line (+18.45 Units / 22.67% ROI).
- 41-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.5 Units / 18.25% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 10.84% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -19.76% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 38-29 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 15.76% ROI).
- 47-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.45 Units / 20.06% ROI
- 37-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 27-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -18.95% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has a strike rate of 65% when ahead in the count (10th highest)– 87th Percentile and 65% when behind in the count this season (sixth lowest among qualified SPs)– ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .422 (19-for-45) against Martin Perez on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .346 — 12th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 17% (49 SO in 295 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 47% of the time (211/450) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .135 (52 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strike rate of 71% (254/358) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .252 (52 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .685 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has an ERA of 2.02 (75.2 IP)this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.76 — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Rangers are 10-5 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Rangers are just 1-98 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 46-36 (.561) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are 30-7 (.811) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Rays are 23-6 (.793) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .549.
The Rays are 9-13 (.409) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rays are 44-17 (.721) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .504 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .281 (1,293 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters are slugging .313 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .863 (1,145 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .542 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .582 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .892 (469 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 186 of 2,001 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Rangers have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 125 of 2,038 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Illness, D15
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
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