Rangers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Rays (80-63) are -150 favorites vs the Rangers (62-81)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (11-6), 2.77 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (10-8), 4.36 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on Friday, September 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Rangers vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.

Rangers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -165O 7.5 -120+125
Rays -1.5 +140U 7.5 +100-150

Rangers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Friday‘s matchup with confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 64 of his last 104 games (+24.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+22.95 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 away games (+22.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+18.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 50 of his last 78 games (+16.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 43% ROI)

Rays vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Jose Siri 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +400 0.5 -800

Rays vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jose Siri 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Yandy Diaz 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Rays vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Jose Siri 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rays vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Kluber 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 57 of their last 104 games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (946/2,180) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 52% of Martin Perez’s pitches (351/677) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 36% of Martin Perez’s pitches (20/55) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (256/498) against Martin Perez this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 86th Percentile.

Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corey Kluber has walked 18 of 595 batters (3%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (162/446) against Corey Kluber this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Corey Kluber has allowed an OPS of .934 (133 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .699 — fourth Percentile.

Corey Kluber has a strikeout rate of just 11% (15 SO in 133 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rangers are just 48-10 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 59-71 (.454) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rangers are just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Rangers are just 20-63 (.241) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rays are just 67-9 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 36-10 (.783) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rays are 147-22 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Rays are 97-17 (.851) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Rangers hitters are slugging .574 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .653 (3,766 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,458 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,852 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rays hitters have just 3 strikeouts in 46 PA’s (7%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rays are batting .400 against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Rays hitters have not struck out in 16 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have an OBP of .478 (46 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Rangers pitchers have walked 126 of 1,273 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 9 of 62 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 17 of 122 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 56 of 507 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 775 of 11,248 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 943 of 13,460 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 64 of 1,278 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,740 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.