- The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- Watch the game on NESN
The Texas Rangers (-140) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+115) on Thursday, July 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rangers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 51-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 45-42 ATS.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +110 | O 10 -105 | -140 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 10 -115 | +115 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+18.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games (+27.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 79 games (+27.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 79 games (+24.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 79 games (+22.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 74 games (+4.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 52-35 against the Run Line (+18.65 Units / 17.34% ROI).
- 51-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 5.6% ROI
- 45-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 6.01% ROI
- 36-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.65 Units / -14.22% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 45-42 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -2.36% ROI).
- 44-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.15% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.63% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -10.61% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (38/265) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .093 (5 GB hits out of 54 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi with runners on base this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .206 (175 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .203 (79 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .642 (86 Total Bases / 134 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 0 Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 48% (29 SO in 60 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (21/127) against Kutter Crawford on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (12/66) against Kutter Crawford with two-strikes this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 102-17 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Rangers are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Rangers are just 4-99 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 35-6 (.854) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Red Sox are 36-2 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Red Sox are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .365 (899 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers hitters are slugging .479 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters are slugging .298 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Rangers hitters are slugging .500 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .400 (365 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Red Sox are batting .338 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Red Sox are batting .302 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 201 of 2,216 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers have allowed 3.69 runs per game (155/42) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 248 of 3,279 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 66% of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,580 times since last season — 4th most in MLB.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Reese McGuire (Red Sox): Oblique, D10
- Corey Kluber (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Face, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Pablo Reyes (Red Sox): Abdominal, D10
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Joely RodrÃguez (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
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