- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rangers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rangers / Red Sox TV Channel: RASN | NESN
The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+100) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Rangers are 17-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 17-19 ATS.
Rangers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 2-2, 2.09 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito 0-0, 4.50 ERA
Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -118 | -120 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -170 | U 9 -102 | +100 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+17.15 Units / 68% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 37 games (+10.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 23 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-16 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -2.49% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 11-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.85 Units / -25.99% ROI
- 24-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.85 Units / 20.16% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 17-19 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -2.36% ROI).
- 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.7% ROI
Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Lucas Giolito (BOS) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 2% of batters this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 2% of batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 2% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi’s K:BB ratio is 15.3 (46/3) this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 2.8 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (22/139) against Lucas Giolito when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed an OPS of .799 (794 PA’s) in 2023 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — eighth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito threw his changeup 32% of the time (207/652) when behind in the count in 2023 — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 93rd Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has an average spin rate of 1978.4 RPM on sliders since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 2435.4 — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 10-132 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Rangers are just 20-29 (.408) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are just 40-154 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Red Sox are just 14-141 (.090) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,226 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 51% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (915 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 27% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Red Sox are batting .379 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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