Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Red Sox are -175 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (6-8), 4.78 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Hill (6-5), 4.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-175) on Thursday, September 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rangers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 55-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 64-64 ATS.

Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -130O 9 -105+145
Red Sox -1.5 +105U 9 -115-175

Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home

Red Sox vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Kevin Plawecki 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Rafael Devers 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Red Sox vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
J.D. Martinez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Kevin Plawecki 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Rafael Devers 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Red Sox vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Kevin Plawecki 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Rafael Devers 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Red Sox vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Glenn Otto 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
Rich Hill 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 90 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 111 games (+6.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 69-57 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 4.16% ROI).

  • 55-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -10.58% ROI
  • 63-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 3.77% ROI
  • 53-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.65 Units / -11.3% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 64-64 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.44% ROI).

  • 61-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -8.16% ROI
  • 58-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -5.14% ROI
  • 60-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -2.26% ROI

Glenn Otto has walked 18 of 103 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.

Glenn Otto has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to July 30th — Cal Quantrill has the longest active streak at 7.

Opponents are hitting just .209 (9-for-43) against Glenn Otto on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.

Glenn Otto has struck out just 7% (2/28) of left-handed batters he faced — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (264/814) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,815/3,908) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,156/2,759) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (457/996) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 17-57 (.230) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Rangers are just 55-63 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are just 14-24 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox are just 8-10 (.444) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 7-28 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Red Sox are just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Red Sox are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (7,517 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (8,979 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Rangers have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Rangers hitters are slugging .567 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .267 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Red Sox are batting .267 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Red Sox are batting .183 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Rangers pitchers have walked 109 of 1,151 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 16% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Red Sox have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 324 times this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (3,353 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D15
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.