Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2022, 11:02 AM
  • The Red Sox (64-68) are -190 favorites vs the Rangers (58-72)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel (2-8), 8.83 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (9-10), 4.39 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rangers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 55-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 64-65 ATS.

Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -120O 10 -115+155
Red Sox -1.5 +100U 10 -105-190

Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 41 games (+24.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 56 of his last 91 games (+19.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 away games (+18.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+15.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+19.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+17.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 91 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.05 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 112 games (+5.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+3.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-57 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 4.74% ROI).

  • 55-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -11.19% ROI
  • 64-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 4.45% ROI
  • 53-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -11.94% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 64-65 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.04% ROI).

  • 62-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -7.44% ROI
  • 59-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 60-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -2.95% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has an ERA of 7.24 (54.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.43 — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (205/1,032) against Nick Pivetta since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (445/1,060) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 37% (95/254) against Nick Pivetta this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 20th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rangers are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 17-57 (.230) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Rangers are just 55-64 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Red Sox are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Red Sox are just 8-10 (.444) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 7-28 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .648 (3,596 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Rangers hitters are slugging .499 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,286 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have drawn 233 walks in 3,286 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .752 (7,766 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .432 against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .269 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rangers pitchers have walked 111 of 1,160 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 466 of 4,965 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 52% of their games since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.50 (115.0 IP) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .264 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.