- The Red Sox (64-68) are -190 favorites vs the Rangers (58-72)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel (2-8), 8.83 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (9-10), 4.39 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rangers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 55-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 64-65 ATS.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -120 | O 10 -115 | +155 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 10 -105 | -190 |
Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 41 games (+24.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+20.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 56 of his last 91 games (+19.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 away games (+18.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+15.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+19.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+17.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 91 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.05 Units / 75% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 112 games (+5.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+3.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 70-57 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 4.74% ROI).
- 55-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -11.19% ROI
- 64-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 4.45% ROI
- 53-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -11.94% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 64-65 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 62-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -7.44% ROI
- 59-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 60-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -2.95% ROI
Dallas Keuchel: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has an ERA of 7.24 (54.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.43 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (205/1,032) against Nick Pivetta since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (445/1,060) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 37% (95/254) against Nick Pivetta this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 20th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rangers are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are just 17-57 (.230) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Rangers are just 55-64 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rangers are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Red Sox are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Red Sox are just 8-10 (.444) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 7-28 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .648 (3,596 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,286 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have drawn 233 walks in 3,286 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .752 (7,766 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .432 against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Red Sox are batting .275 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 111 of 1,160 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 466 of 4,965 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 52% of their games since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.50 (115.0 IP) over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .264 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
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