- The Rangers are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Texas Rangers (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rangers vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 14-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 13-9 ATS.
Rangers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Rangers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 48.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 away games (+8.05 Units / 87% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.95 Units / 83% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Reds vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Reds vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Reds vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 -105 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 49% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-8 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 15.01% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 16.12% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 25.96% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -36.4% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 11.41% ROI).
- 7-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -31.49% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -4.88% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has had second base stolen on him 5 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .318 (28-for-88) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — seventh Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 2 of 50 left-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 87th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a BABIP of .422 this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — second Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .517 (15 GB hits out of 29 GBs) against Nick Lodolo this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed a BABIP of .448 this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 47% (8 SO in 17 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .298 (14-for-47) against Nick Lodolo’s non-fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — 13th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rangers are just 35-31 (.530) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Rangers are just 67-11 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Rangers are just 41-38 (.519) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Reds are just 58-6 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Reds are just 7-88 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .649 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.066 (219 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Rangers are batting just .152 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .278 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (373 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .381 (475 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Reds hitters are slugging just .174 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 642 of 6,932 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds pitchers have walked 150 of 1,619 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,311 of 13,275 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
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