- The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Texas Rangers (-145) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+120) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rangers vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 14-9 ATS.
Rangers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +115 | O 9.5 -115 | -145 |
| Reds | +1.5 -140 | U 9.5 -105 | +120 |
Rangers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 away games (+9.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Reds vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Weaver | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 10.99% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 28.92% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -39.46% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 14-9 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 14.17% ROI).
- 8-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -26.02% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.8% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -9.13% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (10/65) against Martin Perez this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Martin Perez has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (68/93) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strike rate of 69% (74/107) in two strike counts this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 29% (12/41) against Martin Perez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver had a strike rate of just 58% (54/93) — 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 13% (6/45) against Luke Weaver — 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rangers are just 35-32 (.522) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Rangers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Rangers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are 12-2 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Reds are just 58-6 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Reds are just 25-96 (.207) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .371 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rangers hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.063 (228 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .278 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Reds hitters are slugging just .174 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Reds are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (373 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 648 of 6,970 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 158 of 1,636 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .351 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds pitchers have walked 696 of 7,113 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 151 of 1,628 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
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