Rangers vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 26, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Texas Rangers () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Rangers vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 14-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 15-9 ATS.

Rangers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers O
Reds U

Rangers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rangers vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 away games (+10.20 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.75 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jake Fraley has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 69% ROI)

Reds vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
TJ Friedl 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Jonathan India 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Curt Casali 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Nate Lowe 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Reds vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
TJ Friedl 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Jonathan India 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Curt Casali 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Nate Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Reds vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
TJ Friedl 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Jonathan India 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Curt Casali 0.5 +310 0.5 -450
Nate Lowe 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Reds vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Graham Ashcraft 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Jon Gray 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 7.25% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 8.36% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 31.7% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -42.35% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 15-9 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 16.72% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -20.7% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 4.64% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -13.17% ROI

Jon Gray walked 5 of 26 batters (19%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Jon Gray has walked 10 of 46 left-handed batters (22%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 10% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 10% (2/20) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (23/71) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .049 (2-for-41) against Graham Ashcraft this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .341 vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .049 vs left-handed batters this season (best among qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Graham Ashcraft with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rangers are just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 1-88 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Rangers are just 35-33 (.515) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Rangers are just 114-18 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Reds are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Reds are just 59-6 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.

Rangers hitters are slugging .639 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (917/6,920 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters are slugging .299 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Reds hitters are slugging just .278 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .571 (373 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .385 (514 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Reds are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Rangers pitchers have walked 158 of 1,644 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 650 of 7,008 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .351 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .379 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .257.

Reds pitchers have walked 698 of 7,153 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Reds vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
  • William Myers (Reds): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Jung (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hip, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.