- The Rangers are -225 favorites vs the Royals
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Texas Rangers (-225) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-11 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 -130 | O 7.5 +100 | -225 |
| Royals | +1.5 +105 | U 7.5 -120 | +180 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 65.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -130 |
| Jordan Lyles | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.63% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 26.05% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -36.7% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-11 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -41.67% ROI).
- 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -39.69% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 13.24% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -22.35% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 41% (27 SO in 66 PAs) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 68% (27 SO in 40 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has struck out 44% (16/36) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (55/138) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .723 (429 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .465 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (422/831) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .303 (429 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (9/35) against Jordan Lyles this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 32-31 (.508) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Rangers are just 37-50 (.425) when favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Rangers are just 62-11 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are just 1-87 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 2-5 (.286) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Royals are just 1-9 (.100) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Royals are just 5-46 (.098) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 4-10 (.286) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .544.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging just .291 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .581 (114 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (882/6,592 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .273 (580 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Royals hitters are slugging just .367 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Royals hitters have 41 strikeouts in 128 PA’s (32%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are batting just .188 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 152 of 1,573 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 630 of 6,722 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 9 of 143 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals pitchers have walked 135 of 1,563 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
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