- The Rangers are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-13 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -115 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -105 | -115 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 71% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adolis Garcia | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Joshua Jung | 1.5 +210 | 1.5 -275 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 10.93% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 20.04% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 22.11% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -32.79% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 5-13 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -48.15% ROI).
- 4-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -46.39% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 10.97% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -20.2% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (85/141) against Martin Perez when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (1,188/2,721) against Martin Perez since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (218/626) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.
Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez’s pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (17/24) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 77% (34/44) against Brady Singer on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Brady Singer has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (52/69) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (36/50) against Brady Singer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 64-11 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are just 1-87 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Rangers are just 34-31 (.523) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Rangers are 12-10 (.545) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 2-6 (.250) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Royals are just 5-47 (.096) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 1-11 (.083) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Royals are just 4-90 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Rangers are batting just .149 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Rangers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .608 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .264 (646 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .594 (511 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .269 (511 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .256 (423 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 633 of 6,788 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 153 of 1,591 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals pitchers have walked 137 of 1,581 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
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