Rangers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 27, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rangers (34-37) are -145 favorites vs the Royals (26-45)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (5-2), 1.95 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-4), 7.41 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Texas Rangers (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Monday, June 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-42 ATS.

Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +120O 8.5 +100-145
Royals +1.5 -145U 8.5 -120+120

Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 away games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)

Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Edward Olivares 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Edward Olivares 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Edward Olivares 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Martin Perez 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
Kris Bubic 3.5 -185 3.5 +125
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 games (+15.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 51 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 41-30 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 8.27% ROI).

  • 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.76% ROI
  • 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -10.57% ROI
  • 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.75% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 29-42 against the Run Line (-24.7 Units / -25.65% ROI).

  • 26-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -21.37% ROI
  • 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.52% ROI
  • 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -6.12% ROI

The average home run distance against Martin Perez this season is 427.5 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.0

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (12 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .428 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .159 (10-for-63) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 94th Percentile.

Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 20% (15 SO in 76 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.104 (356 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .762 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (164 Total Bases / 234 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .444 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has walked 56 of 459 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (159/1,006) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Rangers are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 0-22 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 13-22 (.371) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Royals are 19-1 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .923.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,921 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,399 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,890 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,721 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Royals hitters have just 463 strikeouts in 2,461 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .362 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .300 (6,191 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 634 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Royals have allowed 1.80 runs per game (128/71) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 870 of 8,886 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joel Payamps (Royals): COVID-19, D15
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.