- The Rangers (34-37) are -145 favorites vs the Royals (26-45)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (5-2), 1.95 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-4), 7.41 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Texas Rangers (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Monday, June 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-42 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 +100 | -145 |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -120 | +120 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+14.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 away games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
| Kris Bubic | 3.5 -185 | 3.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 games (+15.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 51 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 41-30 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 8.27% ROI).
- 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -10.57% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 2.75% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 29-42 against the Run Line (-24.7 Units / -25.65% ROI).
- 26-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -21.37% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -6.12% ROI
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Martin Perez this season is 427.5 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.0
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (12 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .428 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (10-for-63) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 94th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 20% (15 SO in 76 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.104 (356 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .762 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .701 (164 Total Bases / 234 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .444 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has walked 56 of 459 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (159/1,006) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Rangers are 6-4 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 0-22 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 13-22 (.371) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are 19-1 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .923.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (5,921 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,399 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,890 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,721 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 463 strikeouts in 2,461 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .362 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .300 (6,191 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 634 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 1.80 runs per game (128/71) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 870 of 8,886 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joel Payamps (Royals): COVID-19, D15
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15
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