- The Rangers (35-37) are -155 favorites vs the Royals (26-46)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (3-3), 4.17 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (1-3), 4.13 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Texas Rangers (-155) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+130) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 35-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-43 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -105 | -155 |
| Royals | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -115 | +130 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.60 Units / 94% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Heasley | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -115 |
| Jon Gray | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 games (+16.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 52 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 67 games (+5.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 42-30 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 9.42% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -9.15% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.45% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 29-43 against the Run Line (-26.05 Units / -26.68% ROI).
- 26-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -22.39% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -7.29% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 17-20 (.459) at home this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Rangers are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rangers are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Rangers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 0-22 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 183 walks in 2,678 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rangers are batting just .216 with two outs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (8,620 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,678 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 472 strikeouts in 2,498 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 36% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Royals hitters have just 144 strikeouts in 805 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 643 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 54 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 876 of 8,932 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of last season is 407.3 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joel Payamps (Royals): COVID-19, D15
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15
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