Rangers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 28, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rangers (35-37) are -155 favorites vs the Royals (26-46)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (3-3), 4.17 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (1-3), 4.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Texas Rangers (-155) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+130) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 35-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-43 ATS.

Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +105O 9 -105-155
Royals +1.5 -125U 9 -115+130

Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.60 Units / 94% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
MJ Melendez 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
MJ Melendez 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
MJ Melendez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jon Heasley 3.5 -125 3.5 -115
Jon Gray 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 games (+16.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 52 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 67 games (+5.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 42-30 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 9.42% ROI).

  • 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.5% ROI
  • 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -9.15% ROI
  • 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.45% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 29-43 against the Run Line (-26.05 Units / -26.68% ROI).

  • 26-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -22.39% ROI
  • 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.21% ROI
  • 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -7.29% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers are just 17-20 (.459) at home this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Rangers are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Rangers are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Rangers are 4-27 (.129) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 0-22 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Rangers hitters have drawn 183 walks in 2,678 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rangers are batting just .216 with two outs since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (8,620 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,678 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Royals hitters have just 472 strikeouts in 2,498 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals have won just 36% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

Royals hitters have just 144 strikeouts in 805 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 60 of 643 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 54 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 876 of 8,932 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of last season is 407.3 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joel Payamps (Royals): COVID-19, D15
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.