Rangers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 29, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rangers (36-37) are -120 favorites vs the Royals (26-47)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-5), 4.17 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (1-4), 4.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 36-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-44 ATS.

Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +125O 9.5 -120-120
Royals +1.5 -155U 9.5 +100+100

Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 31 away games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.75 Units / 97% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
MJ Melendez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
MJ Melendez 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
MJ Melendez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zack Greinke 2.5 -200 2.5 +140
Dane Dunning 3.5 -115 3.5 -125
Zack Greinke 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 60 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games (+3.83 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 68 games (+4.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 43-30 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 10.48% ROI).

  • 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.7% ROI
  • 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -7.8% ROI
  • 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 29-44 against the Run Line (-27.35 Units / -27.64% ROI).

  • 26-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -23.38% ROI
  • 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
  • 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -8.66% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (74/125) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (20/125) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 59% (190/321) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.

38% of Dane Dunning’s strikeouts are looking this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Greinke has thrown his changeup for a strike just 47% (81/173) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Zack Greinke has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (692/997) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 54% (164/302) against Zack Greinke since the start of last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has located his pitches away 62% of the time (133/215) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

The Rangers are just 17-20 (.459) at home this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Rangers are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rangers are 19-17 (.528) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 0-23 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 20-4 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Royals are just 10-38 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Rangers hitters have drawn 184 walks in 2,683 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,662 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (5,979 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rangers hitters have missed on 28% of swings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals hitters have just 144 strikeouts in 805 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Royals hitters have just 472 strikeouts in 2,498 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 61 of 652 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 15% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have walked 879 of 8,974 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have walked 288 of 2,847 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joel Payamps (Royals): COVID-19, D15
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.