- The Rangers (36-37) are -120 favorites vs the Royals (26-47)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-5), 4.17 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke (1-4), 4.68 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 36-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 29-44 ATS.
Rangers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -120 | -120 |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | U 9.5 +100 | +100 |
Rangers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+16.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 31 away games (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.75 Units / 97% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Royals vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Royals vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Royals vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 2.5 -200 | 2.5 +140 |
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -125 |
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 60 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games (+3.83 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 68 games (+4.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 43-30 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 10.48% ROI).
- 36-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.7% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -7.8% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 29-44 against the Run Line (-27.35 Units / -27.64% ROI).
- 26-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.35 Units / -23.38% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -8.66% ROI
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (74/125) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (20/125) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strike rate of just 59% (190/321) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
38% of Dane Dunning’s strikeouts are looking this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Donald Greinke: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has thrown his changeup for a strike just 47% (81/173) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (692/997) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 54% (164/302) against Zack Greinke since the start of last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Zack Greinke has located his pitches away 62% of the time (133/215) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Rangers are just 17-20 (.459) at home this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Rangers are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are 19-17 (.528) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 0-23 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 20-4 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Royals are just 10-38 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 184 walks in 2,683 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,662 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (5,979 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Rangers hitters have missed on 28% of swings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 144 strikeouts in 805 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 472 strikeouts in 2,498 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 61 of 652 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 15% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 879 of 8,974 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have walked 288 of 2,847 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joel Payamps (Royals): COVID-19, D15
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Bush (Rangers): Forearm, D15
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