- The Rangers (29-33) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (24-38)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (4-2), 2.17 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (1-5), 4.34 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Thursday, June 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Rangers vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 29-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-34 ATS.
Rangers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | -160 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | +135 |
Rangers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+9.45 Units / 135% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Tigers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Tigers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Tigers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Beau Brieske | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 games (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 49 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 49 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+3.58 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+16.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 37-25 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 9.68% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -6.92% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.88% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -10.42% ROI).
- 24-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -13.27% ROI
- 21-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.5 Units / -30.01% ROI
- 38-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.25 Units / 22.26% ROI
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .212 (11 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .426 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .173 (9-for-52) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .265 — 92nd Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .309 (17 Total Bases / 55 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .563 — 97th Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 20% (13 SO in 64 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Beau Brieske: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .544 (31 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .301 — first Percentile.
Beau Brieske allowed a batting average of .296 vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh worst)– eighth Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for ninth best among non-qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (50 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .361 — second Percentile.
Beau Brieske has allowed a slugging percentage of just .160 (4 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on low fastballs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rangers are just 21-6 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Rangers are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Rangers are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rangers are 5-24 (.172) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Tigers are just 1-28 (.034) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Tigers are just 24-30 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Tigers are just 3-19 (.136) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,282 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (996 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (8,251 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .573 (1,658 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .298 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,658 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .591 (2,181 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 555 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 221 of 2,356 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
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