Rangers vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 17, 2022, 9:21 AM
  • The Tigers (24-39) are -125 favorites vs the Rangers (30-33)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (1-3), 4.84 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-3), 2.71 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rangers vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 30-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-35 ATS.

Rangers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -190O 8 -115+105
Tigers -1.5 +155U 8 -105-125

Rangers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s matchup with 76.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 away games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Meadows 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Harold Castro 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Javier Baez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Tigers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Meadows 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Harold Castro 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Javier Baez 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Tigers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Meadows 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Harold Castro 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Javier Baez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Tigers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
Jon Gray 5.5 -130 5.5 -110
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+2.38 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+17.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 63 games (+3.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 38-25 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 10.83% ROI).

  • 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.54% ROI
  • 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -8.52% ROI
  • 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.58% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 28-35 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -11.87% ROI).

  • 24-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -14.54% ROI
  • 21-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.7 Units / -31.22% ROI
  • 39-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.25 Units / 23.38% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (9/45) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (182/914) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (5/27) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (33/175) against Jon Gray this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 28% — seventh Percentile.

Tarik Skubal: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .104 (5-for-48) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .146 (7 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 97th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 72% (139/193) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has not walked any of the 70 batters that he has faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rangers are just 21-6 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Rangers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Rangers are just 28-29 (.491) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Rangers are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Tigers are just 1-28 (.034) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Tigers are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Tigers are just 15-21 (.417) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Tigers are just 3-19 (.136) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (8,286 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .669 (5,682 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (7,144 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,682 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .571 (1,666 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .556 (953 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (2,217 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 564 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,573 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Tigers pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.