- The Tigers (24-39) are -125 favorites vs the Rangers (30-33)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (1-3), 4.84 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-3), 2.71 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Texas Rangers (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rangers vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 30-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-35 ATS.
Rangers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -115 | +105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -105 | -125 |
Rangers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s matchup with 76.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 away games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 101% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Harold Castro | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Cabrera | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -150 |
| Jon Gray | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+2.38 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+17.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 63 games (+3.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.30 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 38-25 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 10.83% ROI).
- 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 1.54% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.58% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 28-35 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -11.87% ROI).
- 24-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -14.54% ROI
- 21-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.7 Units / -31.22% ROI
- 39-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.25 Units / 23.38% ROI
Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (9/45) against Jon Gray on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (182/914) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (5/27) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (33/175) against Jon Gray this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 28% — seventh Percentile.
Tarik Skubal: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .104 (5-for-48) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .146 (7 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 97th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 72% (139/193) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has not walked any of the 70 batters that he has faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rangers are just 21-6 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Rangers are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Rangers are just 28-29 (.491) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Rangers are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Tigers are just 1-28 (.034) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Tigers are just 15-21 (.417) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Tigers are just 3-19 (.136) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (8,286 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .669 (5,682 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (7,144 PA’s) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,682 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .571 (1,666 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .556 (953 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (2,217 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 564 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,573 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Tigers pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
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