Rangers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Twins (62-57) are -200 favorites vs the Rangers (55-66)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cole Ragans (0-2), 5.02 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (7-3), 3.11 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Texas Rangers (+165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-200) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-62 ATS.

Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -125O 8.5 -115+165
Twins -1.5 +105U 8.5 -105-200

Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 32 games (+19.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+17.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+16.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+14.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+19.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+18.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+15.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games at home (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Carlos Correa 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Gio Urshela 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jose Miranda 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Luis Arraez 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Carlos Correa 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jose Miranda 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Luis Arraez 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Max Kepler 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
Carlos Correa 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gio Urshela 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jose Miranda 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Luis Arraez 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sonny Gray 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 43 away games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 68 of their last 117 games (+14.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 66-52 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 6.16% ROI).

  • 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -9.8% ROI
  • 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.11% ROI
  • 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.66% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -6.74% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI
  • 55-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.86% ROI
  • 53-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.72% ROI

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of just 11% (7 SO in 64 PAs) this month (3 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — fourth Percentile.

Cole Ragans has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (87/242) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has walked 8 of 59 right-handed batters (14%) this month (3 games) — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of .520 (25 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (527/1,039) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (196/389) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has walked 23 of 165 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (101 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rangers are just 43-8 (.843) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rangers are 32-6 (.842) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rangers are just 40-7 (.851) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 55-17 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Twins are just 53-7 (.883) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Twins are just 9-23 (.281) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,474 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,154 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,276 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,839 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Twins hitters have just 58 strikeouts in 370 PA’s (16%) against RHP this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins hitters are slugging .602 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .764 (1,519 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Twins are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Rangers pitchers have walked 104 of 1,080 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 431 of 4,598 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Rangers have won just just 16% of the time at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 1.64 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.