Rangers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 25, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Rangers are -105 favorites vs the Twins
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Texas Rangers (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rangers are 72-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 61-67 ATS.

Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers-1.5 +155O 8.5 +100-105
Twins +1.5 -190U 8.5 -120-115

Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Royce Lewis 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Leody Taveras 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Royce Lewis 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Leody Taveras 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nate Lowe 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Royce Lewis 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Leody Taveras 0.5 +195 0.5 -250

Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dane Dunning 5.5 +125 5.5 -160
Sonny Gray 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 119 games (+23.13 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 119 games (+22.24 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 119 games (+16.42 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+5.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.89 Units / 32% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-54 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 12.36% ROI).

  • 72-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 1.93% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -7.37% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 61-67 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -4.61% ROI).

  • 66-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -7.62% ROI
  • 61-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -4.68% ROI
  • 61-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -3.75% ROI

Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of just .192 (156 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 98th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of just .368 (32 Total Bases / 87 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .605 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (203/964) against Dane Dunning this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 15th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of .614 (276 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .499 — sixth Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (81 Total Bases / 283 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .243 (66 Total Bases / 272 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .314 (169 Total Bases / 538 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .403 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 49% (147 SO in 302 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 85th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rangers are 22-15 (.595) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.

The Rangers are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rangers are just 1-127 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Rangers are just 120-19 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 21-55 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Twins are 122-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.

The Twins are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers hitters are slugging .497 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,302 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters are slugging .269 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.

Twins hitters have 1,005 strikeouts in 3,623 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters are slugging .721 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.

Twins hitters have 1,317 strikeouts in 4,851 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters have an OBP of just .298 (1,228 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have walked 77 of 1,145 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
  • Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
  • Joseph Ryan (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
  • José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
  • Oliver Ortega (Twins): Undisclosed, D15
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.