- The Rangers are -120 favorites vs the Twins
- Rangers starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Watch the game on FOX
The Texas Rangers (-120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+100) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rangers are 72-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 62-67 ATS.
Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -110 | -120 |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -110 | +100 |
Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 53.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+13.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+8.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 8.5 +115 | 8.5 -155 |
| Joe Ryan | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 120 games (+21.88 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 120 games (+21.24 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 120 games (+15.02 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.89 Units / 35% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 72-55 against the Run Line (+17.5 Units / 11.08% ROI).
- 72-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 1.36% ROI
- 63-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -0.75% ROI
- 58-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.2 Units / -8.03% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 62-67 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -3.56% ROI).
- 67-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 62-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -3.93% ROI
- 61-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -4.43% ROI
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .255 (14-for-55) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (13/54) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (379/535) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 31% (168/536) against Max Scherzer this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 83rd Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried walked 32 of 733 batters (4%) in 2022 — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 93rd Percentile.
Max Fried allowed a slugging percentage of just .186 (64 Total Bases / 345 ABs) when behind in the count in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
19 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — 4th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 93rd Percentile.
56% of Max Fried’s called strikeouts were inside in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 1-128 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 0-47 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 66-46 (.589) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 55-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 21-55 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .847 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Rangers are batting .269 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .821 (1,302 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Rangers are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .229 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins hitters have 1,013 strikeouts in 3,659 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Twins hitters have 1,326 strikeouts in 4,897 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Rangers pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 226 of 2,577 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 358 of 4,789 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Undisclosed, D15
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
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